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[雙語] 浦東:有領導地位的金融中心

2010-03-24 10:37:28  來源:國際在線綜合  編輯:陸熙堯   

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  The statistics do not add up. An official friend working on them admitted that there is no way to put the figures together coherently. In 2005 Beijing substantially revised past growth rates upwards, but the adjustments did not cover dramatic improvements in the quality of products and services. What is more, the growth rates reported by nearly all provinces were higher, sometimes much higher, than Beijing’s calculation of the growth rate as a whole. In 2006 the City of Guangzhou reported a spectacular increase in per capita income, but mainly because they divided total output value by the registered population and ignored the several millions of unregistered floating workers. There is no question that the livelihood of peasants has gone straight up since about 2000, but official statistics show slower per capita growth than the cities. They must have used registered population in these calculations, because nobody knows how many farm-hands have “floated” away. I believe more than one-third of the working population has been floating around the country. Not knowing the pitfalls, outside organizations have severally reported the Gini index of China to be rising dangerously. These reports miss the target by miles.

  統計的數字加不起來。一個從事統計的官方朋友,直言無法前後一貫地把數字組合。二○○五年,北京相當大幅地把過往統計的增長率提高,但這調整可沒有算進產品與服務的質量是戲劇性地改進了。不止此也,大部分的省份統計的增長率,高於北京對整國的統計,有些高很多。二○○六年,廣州報道該市的人均收入暴升,但主要是因為他們用產出總值除以戶籍人口,忘記了數百萬沒有戶籍的流動人口的產出貢獻。沒有疑問,二○○○年起農民的生活直線上升,但官方的統計卻說他們的增長率低於城市的。他們一定是用了戶籍人口算,因為沒有誰知道多少農民「流動」去了。我認為三分之一以上的勞動人口在國內流動。不知道這個陷阱,外間的機構幾番報道,說中國的基尼系數正在危險地上升。這些報道脫離目標要以英里算。

(文字內容由中信出版社獨家提供,未經允許,請勿轉載)

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